Posts Tagged ‘Counting’

Card Counting Secrets

September 6th, 2010

Does card counting work? Yes. In the nine years I worked as a blackjack dealer, I saw a lot of hopeful schemes and ideas, and while many failed, some of them really worked. Card counting, in particular, has a proven track-record of making money for those who are willing to do it right.

Card counting is a little too involved to teach in a short article, but that’s okay. Before you learn the specific skills, you need to know what it will involve to really do it right, so you can decide if it is worth the effort. That’s what this article is about.

Card Counting 101

In the game of blackjack, card counting is a technique for “beating the house.” This means you make more money than you lose in the long run, but not necessarily on any given day. You beat the house by playing in such a way that the odds are in your favor. How do you get the odds in your favor?

You watch and wait. When the deck is “rich” enough in high-value cards (10,J,Q,K,A), the odds tilt slightly in favor of the player. This has been proven statistically, although how much the odds favor you depends on the “house rules,” meaning the exact rules of the game in that particular casino. The odds also depend on the number of decks that the dealer deals from, and how far into the “card shoe” (the holder that the cards are dealt from) the dealer deals before re-shuffling.

The basic idea is to monitor the cards as they come out, and when the deck has more high-value cards than normal in it, bet more. Bet less when the house has the edge, more when you have the edge, and the odds are in your favor. In other words, you should make money in the long run.

The above is a simple explanation, and you need to study a good counting book to make this work. You need to know “basic strategy,” meaning you need to know when to take a “hit” and when to “stand.” Your play has to be precise to really have the edge. You also need to practice at home for hours. It can be tough at first to keep track of all those cards flying out of that shoe, while the other players talk and waitresses interrupt you.

The “counting” part is essentially assigning a value to the cards and tracking them. This is done more easily at tables where the cards are dealt face up (except the dealer’s “hole card”). In one system. Aces and face cards are given a value of -1, two through six are valued at +1, and seven, eight and nine are considered neutral.

Watching the cards, you add and subtract their values, betting the table minimum all the while. When you arrive at a predetermined count, let’s say +7, you raise your bet. The high count means that there are a higher percentage of high-value cards left in the deck than normal. The odds are in your favor.

One card counter I dealt to for years would sit at the table for most of an evening, almost always betting the $2 minimum. He shifted chips from one hand to another, his own way of tracking the “plus or minus count.” When the shoe (five decks of cards in this case) was rich enough in high-value cards, he would suddenly be betting two hands at $20 each.

He made money, but not much. Do this well, and you may still only get a 1.5% edge on the casino. If, between your minimum bets and the others you average $8 per hand, and 75 hands per hour are dealt, you’ll make about $9 per hour. This assumes you can tolerate alternating losing and winning days and hours of concentration. Betting more brings that hourly rate up, of course, along with the risk of bigger losing days. Card counting is definitely not for everyone.

Steve Gillman has been hunting down obscure knowledge and useful secrets for years. Learn more, and get a free gift at: http://www.TheSecretInformationSite.com

Blackjack Background and Card Counting

August 22nd, 2010

Blackjack

Background

Blackjack was derived from the French game vingt-et-un or twenty-one which originated in the 1700s. The Blackjack name came about as casinos in the USA, in order to attract players offered odds of up to 10 to 1 to any player who’s hand consisted of an Ace of spades and a blackjack (jack of spades or clubs).

Blackjack is one of the most popular casino games due to the simple fact that BlackJack like Poker is a game of luck as well as skill and therefore the casino can be consistently beaten by a skilled player using a proper strategy. More complicated strategies such as ‘card counting’ described below have added to the game’s popularity.

In 1956, a paper was published by Baldwin, Cantey, Maisel, and McDermott in the “Journal of the American Statistical Association” laying out a set of recommendations for the play of the game, these recommendations were very close to today’s basic strategy. The following year, they published a manual for the public with this system of play, but it attracted little interest until, Edward O. Thorp (PhD), saw the paper and understood that there were parts of the game that had been missed in the past. The first being that the composition of the deck changed with each card dealt, also, some combinations of the remaining cards favoured the house and others favoured the players.

In 1962, Dr. Thorp published his now famous book, “Beat the Dealer”, which contained a simple yet profound message that decks of cards have memory. Each hand is dependent on the makeup of the deck at that time and by paying attention to the cards already played, the player can almost predict what will be appearing in the deck next.

Simulation and Card Counting

With the help of a computer, Thorp did a statistical analysis called the Monte Carlo simulation and discovered that 10’s and Aces remaining in the deck put the player at an advantage, while 5’s and 6’s being left in the deck put the dealer at an advantage. Thus, card counting was born.

If the player could keep track of the cards left in the deck, they could decide how to bet on each hand. For example, if there are many 10’s and aces left they would be smart to bet high, and if there are lots of fives and sixes left they might want to bet low.

Card counters make strategy adjustments based on the ratio of high cards to low cards. These adjustments to their betting and playing strategy can give them a small mathematical advantage over the house. Card counters, do not depend on exceptional memory, in order to count cards, because they are not tracking and memorising specific cards. Instead, card counters assign a point score to each card they see and then track only the total score. (This score is called the “count”.)

Different card counting systems assign different point values to the various cards. One of the most common systems, the Hi-Lo Count, is a good example of a counting system. In this system, the cards numbered 2 through 6 are counted as +1 and all tens (which include 10s, jacks, queens and kings) and aces are counted as -1. The cards 7, 8, and 9 are given a count of 0. The Hi-Lo system illustrates a “level one” counting system; more complicated “level two” counting systems assign +2 and -2 counts to certain cards. However any possible advantage gained in the increased accuracy of a “level 2″ system is usually offset by a greater frequency of errors due to the system’s greater complexity.

Another commonly used card counting system is the “K-O”, an unbalanced card counting system derived from Arnold Snyder’s unbalanced Red 7 count, published in 1981. The first blackjack researcher to publish an unbalanced card counting system was Jacques Noir, in his 1968 book Casino Holiday. Unbalanced card counting systems eliminate the need to estimate remaining decks to be dealt, a common source of player error in card counting.

A point to note is that both land based and online casinos, are minimising the card counters advantage by either offering reduced odds on blackjack hands from 3:2 to 6:5 on single deck games, or by shuffling the packs randomly before the end. Online casinos in general shuffle the packs after each game. Nevertheless if a player uses a sound basic strategy they stand a much greater chance of optimising their chances in minimising the casinos advantage. This is reflected in the online casino payout reports, the payout percentage for BlackJack, where individually listed, is generally in the top two games.

John Rowbain is a seasoned casino gambler and a regular features contibutor to BestWebCasinoInfo: An Impartial Guide to Online Casinos

Blackjack Card Counting – Do You Believe These 4 Myths?

July 23rd, 2010

Card counting does put the odds in the favor of blackjack players however there are common misconceptions about card counting that can and do cause players to lose.

If you want to win at blackjack and do card counting then it is important you don’t believe these 4 myths:

The More complicated the method the better

A card counting system that is complicated does NOT guarantee it will be more successful than a simpler one there is no link between how complicated a system is and its success.

It’s the logic that the card counting system is based upon that is important.

There are highly complicated theories we have seen that take weeks to learn, that are less effective than a simple strategy you can learn in around 15 minutes.

Don’t be fooled by sales pitches, the reality sometimes does not match the hype.

Card counting is predictive

Card counting, does not allow blackjack players to predict with certainty what card will be dealt out of the deck next. It is simply a probability theory

Blackjack card counting tries to crudely calculate the odds of various cards coming out of the deck.

There are huge number of permutations, so even if the odds are in your favor doesn’t mean you are going to win in the short term due to the small edge you are playing with.

Card counting is quick an easy way to make profits

Blackjack players who card count can play with a positive edge and the odds in their favor longer term but this does not mean

that profits will be made easily or regularly.

Anything can and does happen in the short term and a player will have to play for literally thousands of hours to see the positive expectation take affect.

Keep in mind we are only talking a small edge of around 1.5%, the smallness of the edge will see wildly fluctuating results in the short term and any blackjack player needs to be prepared with an adequate bankroll.

Blackjack card counting doesn’t work in all casinos!

Why? Because they have different rules, so you need to be very careful that you pick a game with the rules as much in favor of players as possible.

Here are some rules that are favorable to the player and the affect they have longer term in terms of odds of success.

Early surrender – +0.62%

Late surrender Single deck +0.02%

Double down after splitting +0.13%

Drawing to split aces +0.14%

Re splitting of aces +0.03%

Double down cards any number +0.20%

2:1 payoff blackjack +2.32%

Here are some rules that are unfavorable to the player.

2 decks (v single) -0.35%

4 decks (v single) -0.51%

6 decks (v single) -0.60%

pairs no re splitting -0.05%

No doubling on hard 11 -0.89%

No doubling on hard 10 -0.56%

No doubling on hard 9 -0.14%

No doubling soft hands -0.14%

Dealer hits soft 17 -0.20%

Dealer takes no hole card -0.13%

As you can see the rules of the game are very important and you need to pay with the most favorable ones you can find.

Long term profits blackjack card counting

If you are going to try and make profits card counting you need to take note of all the above and be prepared to play for long periods, with an adequate bankroll and have a system your comfortable with.

Do that and your well on the way to making big profits from blackjack!

For more tips and strategies on blackjack card counting and all other major casino games as well as newsletters, ezines, articles and downloads visit ==>http://www.net-planet.org/gaming.html

Counting Cards Playing Live Dealer Blackjack

July 13th, 2010

The futility of counting cards playing online blackjack at an RNG (random number generator) casino has been well discussed and understood for some time now. Just in case you missed the mail on this old chestnut, then it goes something like this; there is no point counting playing RNG blackjack because each new deal is from a full, shuffled virtual deck/shoe.

But what about live dealer blackjack? Live dealer blackjack, as the name suggests is blackjack played online but not against a virtual RNG dealer, but rather against a real live dealer dealing cards via video stream. It’s a game format that is relatively new to the online casino industry, but one that seems to be gaining player traction if the number of adopting casinos is anything to go by.

And just like in terrestrial casinos, the cards are dealt from a real shoe, typically consisting of 8 decks of cards. And just like in terrestrial casinos there is no re-shuffle each deal. So can you effectively count cards playing live blackjack online? Before answering this question, lets first quickly revisit how card counting works.

There are many ways to count cards in blackjack. The premise of all of the methods is that a high card rich shoe, played optimally gives rise to a mathematical player edge. This is because a high card rich shoe makes for more pat hands for players as well as an increased likelihood of dealer busts when forced to hit on 16 or less.

Counting is a means to gauge at what point during a deal you have a high card rich shoe remaining to be dealt, and therefore an edge over the house for optimal play. And contrary to popular belief, being able to gauge the nature of remaining cards in the shoe doesn’t require a photographic memory – just the ability to add and subtract the number one.

A popular count method is the Hi-Lo method. To employ this method, assign the value +1 to all 2s, 3s, 4s, 5s, 6s; 0 to 7s, 8s, 9s; and -1 to 10s and picture cards. As each card is dealt add the assigned value to a running count. If towards the end of the shoe the count is high then the remaining cards are higher than average and bets are increased accordingly (maintaining basic strategy decision making). If the count is low (-ve) then bets should be decreased or stopped altogether.

So turning back to our original question – is counting cards an effective strategy playing blackjack at live dealer casinos? Well as you probably guessed, the answer is no. And the reason for this can be found on perusal of the blackjack rules set out at any live dealer casino. Sample rules from one well known live casino states:

“We offer eight deck Live Blackjack …The cards are shuffled when there are approximately four decks left in the shoe.”

So while the basis of any blackjack card counting strategy is to determine whether the remaining cards are ‘high’ towards the end of the shoe and bet accordingly, the rules of live blackjack provide that the shoe is re-shuffled well before it nears its end, precluding the possibility of an effective count.

Milton Shaw has written numerous online gambling related articles for online casino sites like Live Dealer Casinos

Blackjack Card Counting – The Odds Are You Won’t Make Much!

July 7th, 2010

There is a huge myth around card counting that has built up that it is a road to riches.

The reality however is different. The odds of making a lot of money are poor regardless of how good a card counter you are.

Let’s find out why.

Card Counting Odds

The best odds you can are about 1.5% in your favour.

This is over the LONG term and by long term we mean thousands of hours of playing.

When you consider you can play games of pure chance and place bets at almost even is it worth the extra effort?

We will come to the best way to make money in online gambling in a moment, but let’s look how most people don’t even get 1.5% in their favour when they play a game of blackjack.

How Casino’s cut the odds

The odds are not great on single deck games and the odds go against the player even more when casinos use multiple decks and there are a number of other rules casino’s throw in to cut the odds.

We have all heard the stories of card counters would be banned by casinos but this is simply a myth.

For example, an online casino can’t see what a player is doing and quite frankly they don’t care if you card count or not.

They know with multiple decks, unfavourable rules, and the fact that the player advantage (which is small) is over thousands of hours of playing and this means without errors etc.

Does this mean I should not play blackjack?

Not at all, were simply pointing out if you are playing to make money rather than have fun don’t play it.

If you enjoy the game go ahead, but keep the above in mind.

It is not the road to riches that many players think.

If do play blackjack

If you do play use a simple card counting system (the more complicated systems change the odds very little and players tend to make more errors) and don’t rely on your winnings to pay the rent!

If you want to win in online gaming poker is the game to play. How many stories do you see of people making big money playing blackjack? Not Many.

How many poker players make huge consistent winnings? Check out the internet and you will find a huge amount.

If you enjoy blackjack play it.

If you want to make money rather than waste your time studying card counting and playing with a small odds over long time span move tables and put your efforts into becoming a good poker player and you will make a lot more money.

MORE FREE INFO on all casino games including tips to win at gambling online visit our website for a huge resource of articles, features and downloads and the best online casinos to play at http://www.net-planet.org/index.html