Posts Tagged ‘Believe’

Blackjack Card Counting – Don’t Believe These Three Myths

November 16th, 2010

Card counting can put the odds in the favor of the blackjack player, but it has limitations and is not the “holy grail” that many blackjack players believe.

It is a belief that has seen several blackjack card counting myths emerge that cause many players to lose. Here are some of the more frequent ones.

Myth 1: A Complicated Strategy Will Be More Successful

A card counting system can be complicated or it can be simple, it depends on the system.

The fact the system is complicated does NOT guarantee it will be more successful than a simple one. In fact, you can learn a simple card counting strategy that has

better results than many of the more complicated ones in just 5 minutes!

Reality: There is no correlation between complexity of card counting systems and profitability. It is the logic that the system is based upon which is important.

Myth 2: Card Counting Can Predict the Sequence of Cards

Card counting in blackjack does not allow players to “predict” the sequence of cards that come out of the deck.

In reality, it is impossible to “detect” the sequence of the remaining cards. The number of different sequences is huge and impossible to predict.

Card counting therefore, does NOT allow a player to foresee with certainty what card will be dealt out of the deck next.

Reality: Card counting is not a predictive theory. It is simply a probability theory that will put the odds in your favor over the long term. Short-term results can of

course vary dramatically.

Myth 3: You Don’t Need Much Money to Win

Once a player has learned how to count cards in blackjack and successfully learned how to apply these skills, they very often feel invincible.

When playing at the table they feel that they won’t need much money due to the skills that they have learned.

The fact is, even though a player may have a positive edge in a game that does NOT mean the player is guaranteed to make profits all the time.

Losing streaks occur for all successful players and you need an adequate bankroll to ride them.

Reality: The 0.5% – 1.5% expectation that you can achieve in blackjack, (percentage of each bet you expect on average to win), is not enough to get you a

winning edge consistently. In the short term, you need to prepare for losing runs.

The Reality of Card Counting & Some Tips to Win

If you have understood the above, you will see that card counting is NOT a predictive theory – it is a probability theory.

Once you understand this, you will realize that it can give you an edge in the longer term, but in the shorter term, you can, and will have losing streaks.

By knowing this, you will be able to prepare yourself for the inevitable losing periods with an adequate bankroll.

You also need to pick a system that you feel confident in using.

As we have said, you don’t need a complicated strategy – you can learn a simple one in JUST 5 MINUTES!

To learn more blackjack strategies and maximise your winnings visit our site: http://www.Blackjack-Card-Counting-Strategies.com

Blackjack Card Counting – Do You Believe These 4 Myths?

July 23rd, 2010

Card counting does put the odds in the favor of blackjack players however there are common misconceptions about card counting that can and do cause players to lose.

If you want to win at blackjack and do card counting then it is important you don’t believe these 4 myths:

The More complicated the method the better

A card counting system that is complicated does NOT guarantee it will be more successful than a simpler one there is no link between how complicated a system is and its success.

It’s the logic that the card counting system is based upon that is important.

There are highly complicated theories we have seen that take weeks to learn, that are less effective than a simple strategy you can learn in around 15 minutes.

Don’t be fooled by sales pitches, the reality sometimes does not match the hype.

Card counting is predictive

Card counting, does not allow blackjack players to predict with certainty what card will be dealt out of the deck next. It is simply a probability theory

Blackjack card counting tries to crudely calculate the odds of various cards coming out of the deck.

There are huge number of permutations, so even if the odds are in your favor doesn’t mean you are going to win in the short term due to the small edge you are playing with.

Card counting is quick an easy way to make profits

Blackjack players who card count can play with a positive edge and the odds in their favor longer term but this does not mean

that profits will be made easily or regularly.

Anything can and does happen in the short term and a player will have to play for literally thousands of hours to see the positive expectation take affect.

Keep in mind we are only talking a small edge of around 1.5%, the smallness of the edge will see wildly fluctuating results in the short term and any blackjack player needs to be prepared with an adequate bankroll.

Blackjack card counting doesn’t work in all casinos!

Why? Because they have different rules, so you need to be very careful that you pick a game with the rules as much in favor of players as possible.

Here are some rules that are favorable to the player and the affect they have longer term in terms of odds of success.

Early surrender – +0.62%

Late surrender Single deck +0.02%

Double down after splitting +0.13%

Drawing to split aces +0.14%

Re splitting of aces +0.03%

Double down cards any number +0.20%

2:1 payoff blackjack +2.32%

Here are some rules that are unfavorable to the player.

2 decks (v single) -0.35%

4 decks (v single) -0.51%

6 decks (v single) -0.60%

pairs no re splitting -0.05%

No doubling on hard 11 -0.89%

No doubling on hard 10 -0.56%

No doubling on hard 9 -0.14%

No doubling soft hands -0.14%

Dealer hits soft 17 -0.20%

Dealer takes no hole card -0.13%

As you can see the rules of the game are very important and you need to pay with the most favorable ones you can find.

Long term profits blackjack card counting

If you are going to try and make profits card counting you need to take note of all the above and be prepared to play for long periods, with an adequate bankroll and have a system your comfortable with.

Do that and your well on the way to making big profits from blackjack!

For more tips and strategies on blackjack card counting and all other major casino games as well as newsletters, ezines, articles and downloads visit ==>http://www.net-planet.org/gaming.html